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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Bologna logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Bologna


Zappacosta (11'), Luis Palomino (68'), Djimsiti (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Lucumi (61'), Orsolini (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, April 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Bologna

Atalanta finally have a handful of strikers fit and nearing top form, so should score at least once against a team which has conceded at a rate of two goals per game when on the road; Bologna have been brilliant in Emilia-Romagna recently, but less impressive away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
68.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 18.7% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 12.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.65% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)42.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)64.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)11.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)35.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)80.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.55%
    Bologna 12.74%
    Draw 18.7%
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 68.55%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.7%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 12.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Bologna

Atalanta BC
76.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bologna
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Orsolini (6')
Medel (66'), Lykogiannis (84'), Dominguez (90+4')
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
de Roon (26'), Pasalic (38')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna

Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')

Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
2-2
Atalanta
Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta382161172423069
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina381791261461560
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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