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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Monza

Atalanta
3 - 0
Monza

Ederson (35'), Scamacca (42', 62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pessina (44'), Mari (59'), Izzo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Atalanta
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Monza

 Atalanta have drawn only one of their last 16 Serie A home matches, but they may have to settle for a point this weekend. Under Raffaele Palladino, Monza are capable of springing the odd surprise, and the Biancorossi can avoid being beaten by their Lombardy rivals for the first time since winning promotion last year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
67.15% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03) 18.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 13.98% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.71% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)11% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)35.29% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.019999999999996 0.02)40.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.019000000000002 0.02)77.35% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.15%
    Monza 13.98%
    Draw 18.87%
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
2-0 @ 10.92%
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 8.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.87%
0-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 13.98%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Monza

Atalanta BC
75.0%
Draw
18.4%
Monza
6.6%
76
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
5-2
Monza
Koopmeiners (12', 45+1', 79'), Hojlund (74'), Muriel (90+2')
Piero Gasperini (0'), Toloi (64')
Piero Gasperini (67')
Colpani (51'), Petagna (81')
Rovella (33'), Izzo (63')
Santos (70')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Monza
0-2
Atalanta
Hojlund (57'), Santos (65' og.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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