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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Ikone (45+2'), Mandragora (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (14')
Bastoni (42'), Sommer (75'), Pavard (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan

Fiorentina's build-up play can be impressive, but too often they stumble in and around the opposition area. As Inter are a ruthless winning machine, the Nerazzurri can take advantage of any slip-ups by their hosts and post a fifth win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
34.66% (-0.249 -0.25) 25.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 39.82% (0.325 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.281 0.28)48.26% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.258 0.26)70.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.82% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)62.11% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.295 0.3)23.96% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (0.41999999999999 0.42)58.19% (-0.413 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 34.66%
    Inter Milan 39.82%
    Draw 25.52%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.82%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
16.9%
Draw
7.7%
Inter Milan
75.4%
142
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Fiorentina
Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Final
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')
Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73'), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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