Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Cagliari |
39.71% ( 0) | 25.96% ( -0) | 34.32% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.77% ( 0.01) | 50.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% ( 0.01) | 72.19% ( -0.01) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% ( 0.01) | 24.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% ( 0.01) | 59.51% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% ( 0.01) | 27.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.4% ( 0.01) | 63.6% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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