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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)
De Ketelaere (48'), Scamacca (53')
Hateboer (25'), Bilal Toure (37'), Pasalic (44'), Toloi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Udinese
Monday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 1-2 Atalanta BC

 Atalanta have posted three wins from their last four away matches in Serie A, and they can continue in that vein this weekend. With no time to dwell on events in midweek, the Europa League finalists should prove too strong for Lecce, who have improved under new management but remain vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
26.86% (1.05 1.05) 26.31% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 46.83% (-1.115 -1.11)
Both teams to score 49.51% (0.662 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.447 0.45)54.52% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.369 0.37)75.88% (-0.376 -0.38)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (1.126 1.13)35.48% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (1.15 1.15)72.24% (-1.156 -1.16)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)23.27% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.47000000000001 -0.47)57.19% (0.463 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.86%
    Atalanta BC 46.82%
    Draw 26.31%
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.86%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.325 -0.32)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Lecce vs Atalanta

Lecce
10.5%
Draw
15.0%
Atalanta BC
74.4%
133
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-0
Lecce
Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Baschirotto (27'), Di Francesco (29')
Zapata (40')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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