Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
49.25% ( 0.34) | 25.88% ( 0.07) | 24.87% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.75% ( -0.56) | 54.24% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.36% ( -0.47) | 75.64% ( 0.47) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( -0.09) | 22.05% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.6% ( -0.13) | 55.39% ( 0.13) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.98% ( -0.67) | 37.02% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.19% ( -0.67) | 73.8% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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