Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminensevs.Alianza Lima
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sampaio Correa
Wednesday, May 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, May 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We say: Fluminense 2-0 Alianza Lima
Neither side is in top form on the domestic scene, but Flu's home advantage and long unbeaten record in this competition should see them cruise to victory. Only a point would keep Alianza's continental campaign alive, but they may be staring at a group-stage exit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Alianza Lima has a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Alianza Lima win it is 0-1 (4.43%).
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Alianza Lima |
65.9% ( 0.46) | 19.69% ( -0.26) | 14.41% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
