Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 36.5% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
36.5% ( -0.84) | 24.04% ( -0.27) | 39.45% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 61.26% ( 0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.88% ( 1.26) | 41.12% ( -1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% ( 1.27) | 63.51% ( -1.27) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% ( 0.14) | 22.46% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% ( 0.2) | 56.01% ( -0.2) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 1.1) | 20.99% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.23% ( 1.68) | 53.77% ( -1.68) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |