MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 04:14:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Montpellier

Lille
1 - 0
Montpellier

Yazici (2')
Gomes (50'), Alexsandro (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Der Zakarian (56'), Omeragic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Lille
Thursday, August 31 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Reims
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-0 Montpellier HSC

 Lille will have restored some confidence after advancing to the group stage of the Conference League in the week, and they should have enough quality to continue their unbeaten streak on home soil. Montpellier were big winners at Lyon in their first Ligue 1 outing of the term, but we expect them to fall short at Decathlon Arena on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
63.74% (-1.16 -1.16) 19.74% (0.437 0.44) 16.52% (0.723 0.72)
Both teams to score 56.01% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2% (-0.634 -0.63)38.8% (0.634 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89% (-0.671 -0.67)61.11% (0.672 0.67)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.492 -0.49)11.55% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.52% (-1.072 -1.07)36.48% (1.071 1.07)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.494 0.49)36.67% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.492 0.49)73.46% (-0.491 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Lille 63.74%
    Montpellier HSC 16.52%
    Draw 19.74%
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 7.1% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.83% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 63.74%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.167 0.17)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 16.52%

How you voted: Lille vs Montpellier

Lille
57.7%
Draw
26.9%
Montpellier HSC
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 31
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
David (70'), Cabella (72')
Sylla (24')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 6
Montpellier
1-3
Lille
Wahi (20')
David (41', 90+4'), Gomes (57')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Montpellier
0-1
Lille

Ferri (46'), Savanier (83'), Germain (87')
Xeka (77')
Gomes (22'), Celik (45'), Xeka (64')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 4
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Yazici (45+1'), David (57')
Fonte (25'), Andre (33'), Xeka (43')
Laborde (45+3')
Sambia (24'), Ferri (25'), Laborde (34'), Savanier (56'), Chotard (59'), Mollet (70')
Sambia (73')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 33
Lille
1-1
Montpellier
Araujo (85')
Andre (30'), Celik (43'), Mandava (81')
Delort (21')
Mollet (14')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!