Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
33.8% ( 0) | 28.3% ( -0) | 37.91% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 46.76% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.54% ( -0) | 59.46% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.18% ( -0) | 79.82% ( 0) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% | 32.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( -0) | 69.5% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.71% ( -0) | 30.29% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.54% ( -0) | 66.46% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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