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Serie A
Frosinone logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Milan logo

Frosinone
2 - 3
AC Milan

Soule (24' pen.), Mazzitelli (65')
Harroui (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giroud (17'), Gabbia (72'), Jovic (81')
Loftus-Cheek (43'), Reijnders (48'), Florenzi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Frosinone
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-2 AC Milan

 The side with most first-half goals this season (Milan, 24) take on the team that has conceded more during the opening 45 minutes than any other (Frosinone, 20). The Rossoneri may make a fast start, then, before holding out for victory over opponents that have lost some momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawAC Milan
26.26% (-1.327 -1.33) 23.69% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 50.05% (1.403 1.4)
Both teams to score 57.26% (-0.906 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (-0.674 -0.67)44.1% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (-0.66 -0.66)66.49% (0.664 0.66)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (-1.343 -1.34)30.41% (1.345 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (-1.631 -1.63)66.62% (1.635 1.63)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.283 0.28)17.71% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (0.483 0.48)48.37% (-0.482 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 26.26%
    AC Milan 50.05%
    Draw 23.69%
FrosinoneDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.26%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.353 0.35)
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.377 0.38)
1-3 @ 5.54% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.258 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.128 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.05%

How you voted: Frosinone vs AC Milan

Frosinone
10.6%
Draw
6.7%
AC Milan
82.7%
104
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
3-1
Frosinone
Jovic (43'), Pulisic (50'), Tomori (74')
Jovic (80'), Pioli (90+4')
Brescianini (82')
Barrenechea (63')
> Preview
May 19, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Frosinone
Piatek (57'), Suso (66')
(0')
Dec 26, 2018 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Frosinone
0-0
AC Milan
Ghiglione (41'), Crisetig (54')
Donnarumma (40')
May 1, 2016 2pm
AC Milan
3-3
Frosinone
Bacca (50'), Antonelli (74'), Menez (92' pen.)
Balotelli (26'), Kucka (45')
Paganini (2'), Kragl (44'), Dionisi (54')
Sammarco (10'), Gori (19'), Bardi (39'), Kragl (45'), Russo (48'), Dionisi (55'), Pryima (91')
Dec 20, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
2-4
AC Milan
Ciofani (19'), Dionisi (84')
Tonev (45'), Soddimo (55'), Dionisi (61'), Pavlovic (68'), Ciofani (91')
Abate (51'), Bacca (55'), Alex (77'), Bonaventura (93')
Niang (49'), Romagnoli (60'), Donnarumma (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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