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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina logo

Lecce
3 - 2
Fiorentina

Oudin (17'), Piccoli (90'), Dorgu (90+2')
Almqvist (50'), Banda (77'), Gendrey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mandragora (50'), Beltran (67')
Martinez (15'), Ranieri (72'), Gonzalez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Fiorentina

 D'Aversa is running out of time to turn Lecce's fortunes around, and another one or two bad results could see them drop into the bottom three, and this fixture looks difficult on paper. Fiorentina have been far from convincing in all competitions so far during 2024, but facing a side in much worse form should provide them with a good chance of winning, especially given the return of Gonzalez. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawFiorentina
27.65% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 45.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.93% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-0.026 -0.03)76.22% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)35.06% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.032 -0.03)71.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 27.65%
    Fiorentina 45.81%
    Draw 26.53%
LecceDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.81%

How you voted: Lecce vs Fiorentina

Lecce
11.5%
Draw
21.6%
Fiorentina
66.9%
139
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')
Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
1-0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
> Preview
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
1-1
Fiorentina
Ceesay (43')
Kouame (48')
> Preview
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 33
Lecce
1-3
Fiorentina
> Preview
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce

Castrovilli (67')
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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