Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Almeria |
52.07% ( -0.42) | 25.16% ( 0.06) | 22.76% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 48.97% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.71% ( 0.12) | 53.28% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.16% ( 0.1) | 74.83% ( -0.11) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( -0.12) | 20.46% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% ( -0.2) | 52.92% ( 0.19) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.57% ( 0.42) | 38.43% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.82% ( 0.4) | 75.18% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.07% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |