Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Almeria |
62.69% ( -0.25) | 21.19% ( 0.03) | 16.12% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.91% ( 0.28) | 46.09% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.61% ( 0.26) | 68.39% ( -0.26) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.9% ( 0.02) | 14.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.28% ( 0.03) | 41.72% ( -0.02) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.39% ( 0.45) | 41.61% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.91% ( 0.4) | 78.1% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.68% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |