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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
1 - 1
Atalanta

Leao (3')
Pioli (40'), Leao (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koopmeiners (42' pen.)
de Roon (44'), Holm (45+3'), Lookman (56'), Ederson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Rennes 3-2 AC Milan
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-2 Atalanta BC

 Atalanta (10) and Milan (12) are the only two Serie A sides to have scored at least 10 goals via substitutes this season, so late inspiration could well come from the bench in a close-fought contest. The points may be split at the final whistle, which would maintain the Rossoneri's grip on third spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
44.52% (0.254 0.25) 26.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 29.23% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.97% (-0.165 -0.16)53.03% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38% (-0.14 -0.14)74.62% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (0.052000000000007 0.05)23.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (0.073 0.07)57.84% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.282 -0.28)32.83% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-0.317 -0.32)69.4% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 44.51%
    Atalanta BC 29.23%
    Draw 26.24%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.2% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan
44.4%
Draw
30.2%
Atalanta BC
25.4%
126
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
1-2
Atalanta
Leao (45')
Hernandez (57'), Leao (80')
Mirante (90+7')
Koopmeiners (45+2', 59')
Piero Gasperini (38'), Ederson (90')
Piero Gasperini (38')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
Lookman (38', 55'), Muriel (90+5')
Ederson (72')
Giroud (45+3'), Jovic (80')
Reijnders (71'), Calabria (80'), Jovic (88'), Bennacer (90+2')
Calabria (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Musso (25' og.), Messias (86')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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