Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.42%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
52.01% ( -0.25) | 21.25% ( 0.12) | 26.73% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 66.55% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.91% ( -0.47) | 32.09% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.33% ( -0.55) | 53.67% ( 0.55) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.28% ( -0.23) | 12.72% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.06% ( -0.49) | 38.94% ( 0.49) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.16) | 23.75% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.1% ( -0.24) | 57.89% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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