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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
44.5% ( -0.23) | 23.74% ( 0.03) | 31.76% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% ( -0.04) | 40.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.7% ( -0.05) | 63.3% ( 0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( -0.11) | 18.66% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.01% ( -0.19) | 49.99% ( 0.19) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0.1) | 25.03% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% ( 0.14) | 59.7% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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