Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
33.84% ( -0.27) | 28.56% ( 0.1) | 37.6% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.01% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.62% ( -0.39) | 60.38% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.47% ( -0.3) | 80.53% ( 0.3) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.39) | 33.37% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.43) | 69.99% ( 0.43) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( -0.09) | 30.94% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.11) | 67.24% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |