Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
83.47% ( -0.44) | 10.36% ( 0.25) | 6.17% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.51% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.34% ( -0.58) | 21.66% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.57% ( -0.81) | 40.43% ( 0.81) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.29% ( -0.16) | 3.71% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.06% ( -0.52) | 15.94% ( 0.52) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.65% ( -0.01) | 42.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.26% ( -0.01) | 78.74% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 7-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 6-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.45% Total : 83.47% | 1-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 10.36% | 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 6.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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