MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 17:31:08| >> :600:369522:369522:
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino
1 - 3
Nacional

Suarez (84')
Abrigo (8'), Carrasco (11'), Suarez (55'), Sosa (66'), Rojas (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Duarte (44'), Gaona Lugo (48'), Fernando Alfaro (67')
Pablo Pumpido (9'), Velazco (11'), Bailone (34'), Ojeda (87')
Palestino win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Palestino and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Palestino
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Palestino
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
PalestinoDrawClub Nacional
56.96% (0.49 0.49) 23.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 19.45% (-0.504 -0.5)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.84 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.709 -0.71)50.84% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.628 -0.63)72.72% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)17.64% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (-0.14 -0.14)48.25% (0.144 0.14)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-0.95800000000001 -0.96)40.45% (0.962 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-0.88 -0.88)77.06% (0.884 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 56.95%
    Club Nacional 19.45%
    Draw 23.58%
PalestinoDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 56.95%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.45%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 12.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Nacional
0-2
Palestino

Blasi (41'), Caballero (45+2'), Santacruz (80'), Arevalo (81'), Caballero (90+3')
Carrasco (47'), Sosa (50')
Cornejo (63')
rhs 2.0
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